Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#40
Expected Predictive Rating+11.0#40
Pace74.3#44
Improvement-1.0#223

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#43
Improvement+0.2#165

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#34
Improvement-1.2#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 53.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 53.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four31.6% n/a n/a
First Round39.8% n/a n/a
Second Round17.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 233   North Florida W 75-55 94%     1 - 0 +13.1 -3.6 -2.5
  Nov 14, 2010 286   @ UNC Greensboro W 97-73 92%     2 - 0 +19.4 -2.2 -1.6
  Nov 16, 2010 267   Gardner-Webb W 78-53 96%     3 - 0 +15.4 -4.5 -4.0
  Nov 18, 2010 285   @ Florida International W 89-66 92%     4 - 0 +18.4 -2.1 -1.6
  Nov 23, 2010 201   Mercer W 79-55 93%     5 - 0 +18.3 -3.0 -1.8
  Nov 28, 2010 18   Florida L 51-55 52%     5 - 1 +6.5 +4.5 +5.8
  Nov 30, 2010 1   Ohio St. L 44-58 24%     5 - 2 +4.2 +7.7 +9.9
  Dec 05, 2010 278   Hartford W 60-38 97%     6 - 2 +11.5 -5.8 -3.7
  Dec 12, 2010 29   Clemson W 75-69 57%     7 - 2 1 - 0 +15.1 +4.7 +4.7
  Dec 15, 2010 301   Stetson W 97-63 97%     8 - 2 +21.7 -5.7 -5.3
  Dec 18, 2010 203   @ Loyola Marymount W 74-63 84%     9 - 2 +11.6 +0.5 +0.6
  Dec 22, 2010 156   @ Hawaii W 70-62 75%     10 - 2 +11.8 +1.7 +2.5
  Dec 23, 2010 51   Butler L 64-67 55%     10 - 3 +6.6 +4.7 +4.8
  Dec 25, 2010 73   Baylor W 68-61 65%     11 - 3 +14.0 +3.2 +4.1
  Jan 03, 2011 211   @ Auburn L 60-65 84%     11 - 4 -4.7 -0.3 +0.4
  Jan 08, 2011 33   @ Virginia Tech L 59-71 35%     11 - 5 1 - 1 +3.1 +6.9 +7.6
  Jan 12, 2011 2   Duke W 66-61 26%     12 - 5 2 - 1 +22.6 +8.4 +9.4
  Jan 15, 2011 89   North Carolina St. W 84-71 81%     13 - 5 3 - 1 +14.8 +1.2 +1.2
  Jan 19, 2011 59   @ Miami (FL) W 55-53 46%     14 - 5 4 - 1 +14.0 +5.4 +6.7
  Jan 22, 2011 62   Boston College W 67-51 71%     15 - 5 5 - 1 +21.2 +2.7 +3.4
  Jan 29, 2011 29   @ Clemson L 44-62 33%     15 - 6 5 - 2 -2.5 +6.7 +7.9
  Feb 01, 2011 261   Wake Forest W 85-61 96%     16 - 6 6 - 2 +14.8 -4.7 -3.6
  Feb 06, 2011 13   @ North Carolina L 69-89 22%     16 - 7 6 - 3 -0.8 +9.4 +8.9
  Feb 10, 2011 95   @ Georgia Tech W 72-63 62%     17 - 7 7 - 3 +16.9 +3.9 +4.3
  Feb 12, 2011 97   Virginia W 63-56 82%     18 - 7 8 - 3 +8.4 +0.5 +1.2
  Feb 19, 2011 261   @ Wake Forest W 84-66 90%     19 - 7 9 - 3 +15.2 -1.3 -0.8
  Feb 23, 2011 38   @ Maryland L 62-78 38%     19 - 8 9 - 4 -1.8 +6.6 +6.9
  Feb 26, 2011 59   Miami (FL) W 65-59 70%     20 - 8 10 - 4 +11.6 +2.5 +3.4
  Mar 02, 2011 13   North Carolina L 70-72 43%     20 - 9 10 - 5 +10.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Mar 06, 2011 89   @ North Carolina St. W 72-62 61%     21 - 9 11 - 5 +18.2 +4.0 +4.6
  Mar 11, 2011 33   Virginia Tech L 51-52 46%     21 - 10 +10.9 +5.3 +6.6
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 53.6% 53.6% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.6 12.4 35.2 1.4 46.4 53.6%
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 53.6% 0.0% 53.6% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.6 12.4 35.2 1.4 46.4 53.6%